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	<title>Comments on: Suicide Rates in Japan</title>
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		<title>By: ペーパー＃１ at 2010年 日本語2B ブログ 11時</title>
		<link>http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/comment-page-1/#comment-26652</link>
		<dc:creator>ペーパー＃１ at 2010年 日本語2B ブログ 11時</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 09:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/?p=196#comment-26652</guid>
		<description>[...] http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/ [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] <a href="http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/" rel="nofollow">http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/</a> [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Jon Peltier</title>
		<link>http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/comment-page-1/#comment-21609</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon Peltier</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 12:09:46 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Andrew -

Thank you for sharing your unique perspective. In addition to the economic factors, are there societal factors underlying these high rates? Thinks like perhaps, shame for losing one&#039;s job, shame for needing psychiatric help, and &quot;saving face&quot; through suicide? These are things westerners have heard of, but we don&#039;t know the extent of their truthfulness and impact on the situation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Andrew -</p>
<p>Thank you for sharing your unique perspective. In addition to the economic factors, are there societal factors underlying these high rates? Thinks like perhaps, shame for losing one&#8217;s job, shame for needing psychiatric help, and &#8220;saving face&#8221; through suicide? These are things westerners have heard of, but we don&#8217;t know the extent of their truthfulness and impact on the situation.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew Grimes JFP, JSCCP</title>
		<link>http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/comment-page-1/#comment-21606</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Grimes JFP, JSCCP</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 10:53:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I am a JSCCP clinical psychologist and JFP psychotherapist working in Japan for over 20 years. I would like to put forward a perspective on some of the main reasons behind the unacceptably high suicide numbers  Japan

Mental health professionals in Japan have long known that the reason for the unnecessarily high suicide rate in Japan is due to unemployment, bankruptcies, and the increasing levels of stress on businessmen and other salaried workers who have suffered enormous hardship in Japan since the bursting of the stock market bubble here that peaked around 1997. Until that year Japan had an annual suicide of rate figures between 22,000 and 24,000 each year. Following the bursting of the stock market and the long term economic downturn that has followed here since the suicide rate in 1998 increased by around 35% and since 1998 the number of people killing themselves each year in Japan has consistently remained well over 30,000 each and every year to the present day.

The current worldwide recession is of course impacting Japan too, so unless very proactive and well funded local and nation wide suicide prevention programs and initiatives are immediately it is very difficult to foresee the governments previously stated intention to reduce the suicide rate to around 23,000 by the year 2016 being achievable. On the contrary the numbers, and the human suffering and the depression and misery that the people who become part of these numbers, have to endure may well stay at the current levels that have persistently been the case here for the last ten years. It could even get worse unless even more is done to prevent this terrible loss of life. 

The current numbers licensed psychiatrists (around 13,000), Japan Society of Certified Clinical Psychologists clinical psychologists (16,732 as of 2007), and Psychiatric Social Workers (39,108 as of 2009) must indeed be increased. In order for professional mental health counseling and psychotherapy services to be covered for depression and other mental illnesses by public health insurance it would seem advisable that positive action is taken to resume and complete the negotiations on how to achieve national licensing for clinical psychologists in Japan through the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare and not just the Ministry of Education as is the current situation. These discussions were ongoing between all concerned mental health professional authorities that in the ongoing select committee and ministerial levels that were ongoing during the Koizumi administration. With the current economic recession adding even more hardship and stress in the lives its citizens, now would seem to be a prime opportunity for the responsible Japanese to take a pro-active approach to finally providing government approval for national licensing for clinical psychologists who provide mental health care counseling and psychotherapy services to the people of Japan.

During these last ten years of these relentlessly high annual suicide rate numbers the English media seems in the main to have done little more than have someone goes through the files and do a story on the so-called suicide forest or internet suicide clubs and copycat suicides (whether cheap heating fuel like charcoal briquettes or even cheaper household cleaning chemicals) without focusing on the bigger picture and need for effective action and solutions. Economic hardship, bankruptcies and unemployment have been the main cause of suicide in Japan over the last 10 years, as the well detailed reports behind the suicide rate numbers that have been issued every year until now by the National Police Agency in Japan show only to clearly if any journalist is prepared to learn Japanese or get a bilingual researcher to do the research to get to the real heart of the tragic story of the long term and unnecessarily high suicide rate problem in Japan.

Useful telephone number for Japanese residents of Japan who speak Japanese and are feeling depressed or suicidal: Inochi no Denwa (Lifeline Telephone Service)：

Japan: 0120-738-556 Tokyo: 3264 4343

Andrew Grimes

Tokyo Counseling Services

http://tokyocounseling.com/english/

http://tokyocounseling.com/jp/

http://www.counselingjapan.com</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am a JSCCP clinical psychologist and JFP psychotherapist working in Japan for over 20 years. I would like to put forward a perspective on some of the main reasons behind the unacceptably high suicide numbers  Japan</p>
<p>Mental health professionals in Japan have long known that the reason for the unnecessarily high suicide rate in Japan is due to unemployment, bankruptcies, and the increasing levels of stress on businessmen and other salaried workers who have suffered enormous hardship in Japan since the bursting of the stock market bubble here that peaked around 1997. Until that year Japan had an annual suicide of rate figures between 22,000 and 24,000 each year. Following the bursting of the stock market and the long term economic downturn that has followed here since the suicide rate in 1998 increased by around 35% and since 1998 the number of people killing themselves each year in Japan has consistently remained well over 30,000 each and every year to the present day.</p>
<p>The current worldwide recession is of course impacting Japan too, so unless very proactive and well funded local and nation wide suicide prevention programs and initiatives are immediately it is very difficult to foresee the governments previously stated intention to reduce the suicide rate to around 23,000 by the year 2016 being achievable. On the contrary the numbers, and the human suffering and the depression and misery that the people who become part of these numbers, have to endure may well stay at the current levels that have persistently been the case here for the last ten years. It could even get worse unless even more is done to prevent this terrible loss of life. </p>
<p>The current numbers licensed psychiatrists (around 13,000), Japan Society of Certified Clinical Psychologists clinical psychologists (16,732 as of 2007), and Psychiatric Social Workers (39,108 as of 2009) must indeed be increased. In order for professional mental health counseling and psychotherapy services to be covered for depression and other mental illnesses by public health insurance it would seem advisable that positive action is taken to resume and complete the negotiations on how to achieve national licensing for clinical psychologists in Japan through the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare and not just the Ministry of Education as is the current situation. These discussions were ongoing between all concerned mental health professional authorities that in the ongoing select committee and ministerial levels that were ongoing during the Koizumi administration. With the current economic recession adding even more hardship and stress in the lives its citizens, now would seem to be a prime opportunity for the responsible Japanese to take a pro-active approach to finally providing government approval for national licensing for clinical psychologists who provide mental health care counseling and psychotherapy services to the people of Japan.</p>
<p>During these last ten years of these relentlessly high annual suicide rate numbers the English media seems in the main to have done little more than have someone goes through the files and do a story on the so-called suicide forest or internet suicide clubs and copycat suicides (whether cheap heating fuel like charcoal briquettes or even cheaper household cleaning chemicals) without focusing on the bigger picture and need for effective action and solutions. Economic hardship, bankruptcies and unemployment have been the main cause of suicide in Japan over the last 10 years, as the well detailed reports behind the suicide rate numbers that have been issued every year until now by the National Police Agency in Japan show only to clearly if any journalist is prepared to learn Japanese or get a bilingual researcher to do the research to get to the real heart of the tragic story of the long term and unnecessarily high suicide rate problem in Japan.</p>
<p>Useful telephone number for Japanese residents of Japan who speak Japanese and are feeling depressed or suicidal: Inochi no Denwa (Lifeline Telephone Service)：</p>
<p>Japan: 0120-738-556 Tokyo: 3264 4343</p>
<p>Andrew Grimes</p>
<p>Tokyo Counseling Services</p>
<p><a href="http://tokyocounseling.com/english/" rel="nofollow">http://tokyocounseling.com/english/</a></p>
<p><a href="http://tokyocounseling.com/jp/" rel="nofollow">http://tokyocounseling.com/jp/</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.counselingjapan.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.counselingjapan.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: Juan Orozco</title>
		<link>http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/comment-page-1/#comment-2604</link>
		<dc:creator>Juan Orozco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Aug 2008 05:49:57 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Good analysis on the Japan unemployment vs. suicide rate. One test I normally run is the F test. The R2 just says what % of the error (sum of squared errors) are explained by the regression. But we may be biased to reject lower R2’s (or the underlying regression) in large datasets  where, in fact, they should be considered. Or accept R2’s in small datasets, when they should be rejected. A better test is the F-test. It answers &quot;what are the chances of this relationship being a random behavior&quot;. As we know, in statistics, we can reject or accept a relationship, depending on our level of confidence. So if the F test returns 99%, and your confidence level is 95%, you can accept there is a linear relationship.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good analysis on the Japan unemployment vs. suicide rate. One test I normally run is the F test. The R2 just says what % of the error (sum of squared errors) are explained by the regression. But we may be biased to reject lower R2’s (or the underlying regression) in large datasets  where, in fact, they should be considered. Or accept R2’s in small datasets, when they should be rejected. A better test is the F-test. It answers &#8220;what are the chances of this relationship being a random behavior&#8221;. As we know, in statistics, we can reject or accept a relationship, depending on our level of confidence. So if the F test returns 99%, and your confidence level is 95%, you can accept there is a linear relationship.</p>
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		<title>By: derek</title>
		<link>http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/suicide-rates-in-japan/comment-page-1/#comment-2597</link>
		<dc:creator>derek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Aug 2008 20:43:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/?p=196#comment-2597</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;I can add a secondary axis, and adjust the relative scales of the two series to mislead the reader in any way I want.&lt;/i&gt;

That is the problem with secondary axes. If this data set had a better correlation, you could use the linear least-squares fit to assign a non-arbitrary set of values to the primary and secondary axes, such that the means coincided and the scales were in proportion to the slope of the trend line. 

&lt;p align=&quot;center&quot;&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/wp-content/img200808/japansuicide.png&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

As well as being non-arbitrary (so you can&#039;t be accused of cherry picking), this has the extra advantage of being the scaling that produces the strongest visual impression of correlation. It is, after all, the fit with the least square deviation. So it&#039;s a deceiver&#039;s dream! Fortunately, the scalings also look really suspicious with their odd decimal fractions. 

Kaiser Fung of Junk Charts describes a similar technique in &lt;a href=&quot;http://junkcharts.typepad.com/junk_charts/2007/11/the-eyeball-tes.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;&quot;The eyeball test&quot;&lt;/a&gt;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>I can add a secondary axis, and adjust the relative scales of the two series to mislead the reader in any way I want.</i></p>
<p>That is the problem with secondary axes. If this data set had a better correlation, you could use the linear least-squares fit to assign a non-arbitrary set of values to the primary and secondary axes, such that the means coincided and the scales were in proportion to the slope of the trend line. </p>
<p align="center"><img src="http://peltiertech.com/WordPress/wp-content/img200808/japansuicide.png" /></p>
<p>As well as being non-arbitrary (so you can&#8217;t be accused of cherry picking), this has the extra advantage of being the scaling that produces the strongest visual impression of correlation. It is, after all, the fit with the least square deviation. So it&#8217;s a deceiver&#8217;s dream! Fortunately, the scalings also look really suspicious with their odd decimal fractions. </p>
<p>Kaiser Fung of Junk Charts describes a similar technique in <a href="http://junkcharts.typepad.com/junk_charts/2007/11/the-eyeball-tes.html" rel="nofollow">&#8220;The eyeball test&#8221;</a>.</p>
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